Wednesday 11 November 2026 18 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grimsby v Bristol Rovers: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Blundell Park

Grimsby

DDDDW
2–0
FT
Grimsby 36%Draw 21%Bristol Rovers 43% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.63
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBristol Rovers to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grimsby welcome Bristol Rovers to Blundell Park for a League Two fixture on Saturday 12 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Bristol Rovers are 17th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Grimsby, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cheltenham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Bristol Rovers, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotherham, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bristol Rovers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Grimsby.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Bristol Rovers 3–1 Grimsby.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.5 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 36%, draw 21%, Bristol Rovers 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Bristol Rovers to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grimsby36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Bristol Rovers43%fair 2.34 · @2.70
3.10Expected goals
1.47Grimsby xG
1.63Bristol Rovers xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Grimsby 1.5 – 1.6 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol Rovers to win ✗43%2.342.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.60
Draw no betBristol Rovers (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapGrimsby +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreBristol Rovers to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.38–

Recent results

Grimsby – last 6

DDDDWL
5 Sep@ Cheltenham2–2D
1 Sep@ Accrington ST2–2D
29 Augvs Fleetwood Town2–2D
22 Aug@ Walsall0–0D
15 Augvs Exeter City1–0W
8 Augvs Blackpool1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bristol Rovers – last 6

WWWDWL
5 Sepvs Rotherham1–0W
1 Sepvs Colchester2–0W
29 Aug@ Crawley Town2–0W
25 Augvs Chelsea U212–2D
22 Augvs Newport County5–3W
15 Aug@ York2–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Bristol Rovers v Grimsby3–1
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?

On our numbers Grimsby have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bristol Rovers 43%.

How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?

Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.