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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crawley Town v Cheltenham: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Broadfield Stadium
1–3
FT
Crawley Town 38%Draw 21%Cheltenham 41% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.64
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCheltenham to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Crawley Town welcome Cheltenham to The Broadfield Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 12 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Cheltenham are 5th (upper half) with 21. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Crawley Town, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Accrington ST, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cheltenham, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Grimsby, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cheltenham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Crawley Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.6 xG, Cheltenham 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 38%, draw 21%, Cheltenham 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Cheltenham to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crawley Town38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Cheltenham41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
3.20Expected goals
1.56Crawley Town xG
1.64Cheltenham xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.6 – 1.6 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCheltenham to win ✓41%2.442.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betCheltenham (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapCrawley Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreCheltenham to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham ✓24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Crawley Town – last 6

LDLWLL
5 Sep@ Accrington ST2–3L
1 Sep@ Northampton1–1D
29 Augvs Bristol Rovers0–2L
22 Aug@ Rochdale2–1W
15 Augvs Crewe0–1L
8 Aug@ Watford0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cheltenham – last 6

DWDLWL
5 Sepvs Grimsby2–2D
1 Sepvs York3–2W
29 Aug@ Barnet2–2D
22 Aug@ Swindon Town1–2L
15 Augvs Rotherham2–1W
8 Augvs Charlton1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Cheltenham.

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?

On our numbers Crawley Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cheltenham 41%.

How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?

Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.