Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGillingham to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Accrington ST vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST welcome Gillingham to The Wham Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oldham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gillingham, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Brighton U21, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.3 xG, Gillingham 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 39%, draw 22%, Gillingham 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gillingham to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Gillingham39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.29Accrington ST xG
1.31Gillingham xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.3 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gillingham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Accrington ST vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
