Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColchester to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.50
Colchester vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the League Two brings Colchester against Exeter City. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Exeter City are 12th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Newport County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Exeter City, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shrewsbury, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Exeter City, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Colchester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.0 xG, Exeter City 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 41%, draw 23%, Exeter City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Exeter City36%fair 2.74 · @3.20
1.84Expected goals
0.96Colchester xG
0.88Exeter City xG
51%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.0 – 0.9 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.75
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Colchester to score first✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.50
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
LDDLDD
10 Oct
@ Newport County
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Luton
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
WDWLDD
10 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Colchester vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Colchester have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Exeter City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Exeter City?
Colchester vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
