Port Vale 38%Draw 22%Chesterfield 40%Expected goals 1.20 – 1.24
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Port Vale vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the League Two brings Port Vale against Chesterfield at Vale Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grimsby, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chesterfield, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Crawley Town, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Sep 2026) it ended Chesterfield 1–1 Port Vale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.2 xG, Chesterfield 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 38%, draw 22%, Chesterfield 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Chesterfield40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
2.44Expected goals
1.20Port Vale xG
1.24Chesterfield xG
60%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.2 – 1.2 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 40%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Port Vale vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
