Grimsby vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Grimsby v Northampton in the League Two, played at Blundell Park. In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Port Vale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Northampton, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.3 xG, Northampton 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 58%, draw 20%, Northampton 22%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grimsby to win (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.60
Northampton22%fair 4.55 · @4.20
1.94Expected goals
1.32Grimsby xG
0.62Northampton xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.3 – 0.6 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.75
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Northampton +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.88
–
Recent results
Grimsby – last 6
LDLLLW
10 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Crawley Town
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
DLLLWD
10 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Northampton?
Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Grimsby vs Northampton?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Northampton 22%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Northampton?
Grimsby vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
