Newport County 25%Draw 15%York 60%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.79
60%
Betarazi pick
York to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultYork to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Newport County vs York: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport County welcome York to Rodney Parade for a League Two fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Newport County are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; York are 7th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newport County, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colchester, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
York, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Northampton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newport County, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for York.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.0 xG, York 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 25%, draw 15%, York 60%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was York to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 0–1 York. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @3.50
York60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
1.00Newport County xG
1.79York xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.0 – 1.8 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
York to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Newport County – last 6
WDDWWD
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
York – last 6
DWDLLW
10 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Swindon Town
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and York.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs York?
Our pick is York to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Newport County vs York?
On our numbers Newport County have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and York 60%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs York?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs York?
Our predicted score is Newport County 0–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs York?
Newport County vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
