Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWalsall to win ✗47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Swindon Town vs Walsall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Swindon Town v Walsall in the League Two, played at County Ground. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Walsall are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Swindon Town, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Crewe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Walsall, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fulham U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Walsall, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Swindon Town.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swindon Town 0.9 xG, Walsall 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swindon Town 32%, draw 21%, Walsall 47%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Walsall to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swindon Town32%fair 3.16 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Walsall47%fair 2.13 · @2.38
2.16Expected goals
0.93Swindon Town xG
1.23Walsall xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Swindon Town 0.9 – 1.2 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Walsall?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Walsall 47%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Swindon Town vs Walsall (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
