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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barnet v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Hive Stadium

Barnet

WWDWW
1–3
FT
Barnet 66%Draw 19%Swindon Town 15% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.86
66%
Betarazi pick

Barnet to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnet to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Barnet vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barnet welcome Swindon Town to The Hive Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Barnet are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Barnet, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tranmere, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Swindon Town, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Walsall, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Barnet, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Swindon Town.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Barnet 1–2 Swindon Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 2.1 xG, Swindon Town 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 66%, draw 19%, Swindon Town 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barnet or draw (85%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barnet to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 2–0 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnet66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.40
Swindon Town15%fair 6.87 · @5.50
2.95Expected goals
2.09Barnet xG
0.86Swindon Town xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Barnet 2.1 – 0.9 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnet to win ✗66%1.511.44
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✗85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.57
Draw no betBarnet (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapBarnet -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreBarnet to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultBarnet ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnet / FT Barnet ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Barnet – last 6

WWDWWD
17 Oct@ Tranmere2–1W
10 Oct@ Bristol Rovers3–1W
6 Oct@ AFC Wimbledon0–0D
19 Sepvs Fleetwood Town3–1W
12 Sepvs Accrington ST2–1W
5 Sep@ Chesterfield3–3D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

DLLDLL
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
3 Oct@ Rochdale0–1L
26 Sepvs Accrington ST1–1D
22 Sepvs Newport County0–2L
19 Sep@ Salford City0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Barnet v Swindon Town1–2
Barnet vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnet vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Barnet to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Barnet have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swindon Town 15%.

How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Barnet 2–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Barnet vs Swindon Town?

Barnet vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.