Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Exeter City vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Exeter City welcome Crewe to St James Park for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Exeter City are 12th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Colchester, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Crewe, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rochdale, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 0.9 xG, Crewe 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 42%, draw 24%, Crewe 34%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 0–0 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Crewe34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
1.64Expected goals
0.89Exeter City xG
0.75Crewe xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Exeter City 0.9 – 0.8 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
42%
2.39
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Exeter City (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Exeter City to score first✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 6
DWDWLD
17 Oct
@ Colchester
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
WWDWDW
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ Swindon Town
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Blackpool
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Bristol Rovers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Rotherham
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Aston Villa U21
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Crewe.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crewe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Crewe?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 0–0 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Crewe?
Exeter City vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
