Northampton vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton welcome Tranmere to Sixfields Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Northampton are 21st, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Northampton, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Grimsby, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tranmere, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barnet, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.2 xG, Tranmere 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 47%, draw 23%, Tranmere 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Tranmere30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
2.10Expected goals
1.22Northampton xG
0.88Tranmere xG
55%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.2 – 0.9 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Tranmere +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Northampton to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 6
WDLLLW
17 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 6
LDLDWD
17 Oct
vs Barnet
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Rochdale
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Chesterfield
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs Walsall
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Tranmere.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Northampton have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tranmere 30%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Tranmere?
Northampton vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
