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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesterfield v Colchester: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Proact Stadium
1–1
FT
Chesterfield 60%Draw 19%Colchester 21% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.88
60%
Betarazi pick

Chesterfield to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✗60% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Chesterfield vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Chesterfield v Colchester in the League Two, played at Proact Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Chesterfield, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Port Vale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Colchester, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Exeter City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chesterfield, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Colchester.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Chesterfield 3–0 Colchester.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.7 xG, Colchester 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 60%, draw 19%, Colchester 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chesterfield to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–0 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesterfield60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @3.90
Colchester21%fair 4.71 · @4.80
2.62Expected goals
1.74Chesterfield xG
0.88Colchester xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.7 – 0.9 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✗60%1.671.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.65
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapColchester +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 6

LDWLDW
17 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L
10 Oct@ Crawley Town2–2D
3 Octvs Tranmere4–2W
26 Sep@ Cheltenham1–2L
22 Sepvs Port Vale1–1D
19 Sepvs York2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Colchester – last 6

DLDDLD
17 Octvs Exeter City0–0D
10 Oct@ Newport County0–1L
3 Octvs Luton1–1D
26 Sep@ Shrewsbury2–2D
22 Sep@ Peterborough1–3L
19 Sepvs Cheltenham1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Chesterfield v Colchester3–0
Chesterfield vs Colchester head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Our pick is Chesterfield to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Colchester 21%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Colchester?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Chesterfield vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Proact Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.