Value bet: Newport County to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Rotherham vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Rotherham v Newport County in the League Two, played at New York Stadium. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Rotherham, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fleetwood Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Newport County, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newport County, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Rotherham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.3 xG, Newport County 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 40%, draw 23%, Newport County 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Newport County to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Newport County37%fair 2.69 · @3.30
2.59Expected goals
1.33Rotherham xG
1.26Newport County xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
40%
2.48
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Rotherham to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 6
LLLLDD
17 Oct
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
6 Oct
vs Bradford
0–4
L
3 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
22 Sep
@ York
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
DWDDWW
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newport County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Newport County?
Rotherham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
