Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.51
Gillingham vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Port Vale travel to face Gillingham on Tuesday 20 October in the League Two, with Priestfield Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Port Vale are 19th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Accrington ST, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chesterfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Gillingham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.0 xG, Port Vale 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 37%, draw 23%, Port Vale 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Gillingham to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Port Vale40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
2.15Expected goals
1.05Gillingham xG
1.10Port Vale xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.0 – 1.1 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
40%
2.52
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.51
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 6
LWWDLL
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Newport County
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ York
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Port Vale 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Gillingham vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
