York 62%Draw 20%Accrington ST 19%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.95
81%
Betarazi pick
York or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultYork to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceYork or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
York vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: York v Accrington ST in the League Two, played at York`s LNER Community Stadium. In the table, York are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
York, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newport County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Accrington ST, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gillingham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for York.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give York 2.0 xG, Accrington ST 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – York 62%, draw 20%, Accrington ST 19%.
Lower-risk option: York or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was York or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: York 1–0 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
York62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Accrington ST19%fair 5.38 · @4.20
2.90Expected goals
1.95York xG
0.95Accrington ST xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: York 2.0 – 0.9 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Double chance
York or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
York -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
York to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
York – last 6
DDWDLL
17 Oct
@ Newport County
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
WDDWDD
17 Oct
vs Gillingham
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Oldham
0–0
D
6 Oct
vs Salford City
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Cheltenham
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Accrington ST.
Our pick is York or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers York have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Accrington ST 19%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is York 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is York vs Accrington ST?
York vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
