Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultArosa to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.93
Arosa vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa welcome Gernika for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Arosa are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Gernika are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Arosa, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Amorebieta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Gernika, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bergantiños, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Gernika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 2.1 xG, Gernika 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 42%, draw 24%, Gernika 33%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 2–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Gernika33%fair 3.00 · @3.25
4.00Expected goals
2.12Arosa xG
1.88Gernika xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Arosa 2.1 – 1.9 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Arosa (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Gernika +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Arosa ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.93
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
DWWDDW
6 Sep
@ Amorebieta
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Boiro
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Estradense
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Somozas
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 5
DDDLD
6 Sep
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
3 May
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Basconia
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Gernika.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arosa vs Gernika?
On our numbers Arosa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gernika 33%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Gernika?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Arosa 2–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Gernika?
Arosa vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
