Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultBergantiños to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.82
Bergantiños vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Bergantiños v Amorebieta in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Bergantiños are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Amorebieta are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bergantiños, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Leioa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Amorebieta, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arosa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 2.1 xG, Amorebieta 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 43%, draw 24%, Amorebieta 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 2–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bergantiños43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Amorebieta32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
4.00Expected goals
2.14Bergantiños xG
1.86Amorebieta xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 2.1 – 1.9 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✓
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Bergantiños (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Amorebieta +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Bergantiños to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Bergantiños ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Bergantiños – last 6
WDWLWL
9 Sep
vs Leioa
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Gernika
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sámano
5–0
W
26 Apr
vs UD Ourense
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
4–3
W
29 Mar
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Amorebieta – last 6
DLWDWW
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Mutilvera
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Eibar II
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and Amorebieta.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amorebieta 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 2–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?
Bergantiños vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
