Basconia vs Atlético Astorga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Basconia against Atlético Astorga. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Basconia are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Atlético Astorga are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ourense CF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Atlético Astorga, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portugalete, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 1.3 xG, Atlético Astorga 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 56%, draw 22%, Atlético Astorga 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Basconia to win (56%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 1–0 Atlético Astorga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia56%fair 1.78 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Atlético Astorga22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.33Basconia xG
0.67Atlético Astorga xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Basconia 1.3 – 0.7 Atlético Astorga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Astorga +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Basconia – last 6
LDLWDW
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ejea
5–1
W
26 Apr
vs Gernika
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LLWDLD
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ La Bañeza
0–2
L
3 May
@ UD Ourense
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Atlético Astorga.
What is the prediction for Basconia vs Atlético Astorga?
Our pick is Basconia to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Basconia vs Atlético Astorga?
On our numbers Basconia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Astorga 22%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Atlético Astorga?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Atlético Astorga?
Our predicted score is Basconia 1–0 Atlético Astorga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Atlético Astorga?
Basconia vs Atlético Astorga (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
