Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Portugalete to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortugalete to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chancePortugalete or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Portugalete vs Compostela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Compostela travel to face Portugalete on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Portugalete are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Compostela are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portugalete, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Astorga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Compostela, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Derio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portugalete, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Compostela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 1.3 xG, Compostela 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 55%, draw 26%, Compostela 19%.
Lower-risk option: Portugalete or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Portugalete to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portugalete or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 1–0 Compostela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugalete55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Compostela19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.35Portugalete xG
0.65Compostela xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portugalete 1.3 – 0.7 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugalete to win✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Portugalete or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Draw no bet
Portugalete (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Compostela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Portugalete to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugalete / FT Portugalete✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Portugalete – last 6
WWWWDW
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1 Apr
vs Durango
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Aretxabaleta
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Zamudio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Compostela – last 6
DLLLWW
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Compostela.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Compostela?
Our pick is Portugalete or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portugalete vs Compostela?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Compostela 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Compostela?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Compostela?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–0 Compostela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Compostela?
Portugalete vs Compostela (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
