Sestao River 55%Draw 23%Real Oviedo II 22%Expected goals 1.33 – 0.67
78%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sestao River welcome Real Oviedo II to Estadio Las Llanas for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 13 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Sestao River are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Real Oviedo II are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Badalona II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Oviedo II, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eibar II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Real Oviedo II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 1.3 xG, Real Oviedo II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 55%, draw 23%, Real Oviedo II 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sestao River to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 1–0 Real Oviedo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @2.90
Real Oviedo II22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.33Sestao River xG
0.67Real Oviedo II xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.3 – 0.7 Real Oviedo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.75
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Real Oviedo II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.56
–
Recent results
Sestao River – last 6
DWWDLW
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Real Oviedo II – last 6
WLLWLL
5 Sep
vs Eibar II
2–1
W
31 May
vs CD Coria
0–1
L
24 May
@ CD Coria
0–3
L
3 May
vs Langreo
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Racing Santander II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Real Oviedo II.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Our pick is Sestao River or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Oviedo II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Real Oviedo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
