Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marino de Luanco welcome Ourense CF for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Marino de Luanco are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Ourense CF are 10th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Marino de Luanco, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Compostela, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ourense CF, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Basconia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Marino de Luanco, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ourense CF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.6 xG, Ourense CF 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 39%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Ourense CF35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.55Marino de Luanco xG
1.45Ourense CF xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.6 – 1.4 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marino de Luanco to win✗
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Marino de Luanco (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Ourense CF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Marino de Luanco to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WLLWWL
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
3 May
@ Numancia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
WLLDLD
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontevedra
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ourense CF 35%.
How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
