Value bet: Elche II to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCieza to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.73
Cieza vs Elche II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cieza welcome Elche II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Cieza are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Elche II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Cieza, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alcoyano, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Elche II, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lorca Deportiva, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cieza 1.2 xG, Elche II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cieza 44%, draw 23%, Elche II 33%.
Price worth noting: Elche II to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cieza 1–1 Elche II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cieza44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Elche II33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
2.26Expected goals
1.24Cieza xG
1.02Elche II xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cieza 1.2 – 1.0 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win✓
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Cieza (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Elche II +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Cieza to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Cieza – last 6
DWLDWD
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Yeclano II
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ SFC Minerva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Elche II – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
3 May
vs Quintanar del Rey
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ CD Coria
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Elche II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cieza vs Elche II?
On our numbers Cieza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elche II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Elche II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cieza vs Elche II?
Our predicted score is Cieza 1–1 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cieza vs Elche II?
Cieza vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
