Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Orihuela v Lorca Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Orihuela are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Lorca Deportiva are 8th (upper half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Orihuela, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Murcia II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Elche II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Orihuela, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Lorca Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 1.4 xG, Lorca Deportiva 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 46%, draw 25%, Lorca Deportiva 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orihuela46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Lorca Deportiva29%fair 3.46 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.43Orihuela xG
1.07Lorca Deportiva xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.4 – 1.1 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
46%
2.16
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Orihuela (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Lorca Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Orihuela to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Orihuela – last 6
WLWLDW
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Conquense
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
DLLDDL
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melilla
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorca Deportiva 29%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
