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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ucam Murcia v Valencia II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio de La Condomina
1–0
FT
Ucam Murcia 42%Draw 22%Valencia II 36% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.19
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Valencia II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUcam Murcia to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ucam Murcia welcome Valencia II to Estadio de La Condomina for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 13 September (10:00 WAT). In the table, Ucam Murcia are 2nd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Valencia II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ucam Murcia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Castellonense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Valencia II, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mallorca II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Valencia II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Ucam Murcia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ucam Murcia 1.3 xG, Valencia II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ucam Murcia 42%, draw 22%, Valencia II 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Valencia II to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ucam Murcia 1–1 Valencia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ucam Murcia42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Valencia II36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.31Ucam Murcia xG
1.19Valencia II xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.3 – 1.2 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUcam Murcia to win ✓42%2.372.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betUcam Murcia (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapValencia II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreUcam Murcia to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Ucam Murcia – last 6

LLLLLD
5 Sep@ Castellonense1–2L
3 May@ Xerez0–1L
26 Aprvs Real Jaén1–2L
19 Apr@ La Unión Atlético1–4L
5 Apr@ Deportiva Minera0–2L
15 Marvs Linares Deportivo1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valencia II – last 6

DLWLWD
6 Sepvs Mallorca II1–1D
3 May@ Olot0–2L
26 Aprvs Espanyol II3–0W
5 Apr@ Andratx3–5L
28 Marvs Terrassa5–1W
22 Mar@ Atlètic Lleida1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Valencia II.

Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?

On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valencia II 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?

Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–1 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?

Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.