Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 53% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +59%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.00
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72
Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Peña Deportiva against Yeclano. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Peña Deportiva are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Yeclano are 14th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Peña Deportiva, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportiva Minera, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Yeclano, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 0.4 xG, Yeclano 0.6 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 18%, draw 53%, Yeclano 29%.
Lower-risk option: Yeclano or draw (82%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yeclano or draw (82%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 0–0 Yeclano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva18%fair 5.46 · @3.30
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.00
Yeclano29%fair 3.50 · @2.10
1.00Expected goals
0.42Peña Deportiva xG
0.58Yeclano xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 0.4 – 0.6 Yeclano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.88
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Yeclano or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Yeclano (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Peña Deportiva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
37%
2.72
–
Recent results
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LLWDWW
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Ibiza
0–5
L
20 Jun
vs Arenas Armilla
5–2
W
14 Jun
@ Arenas Armilla
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Manacor
3–1
W
30 May
vs Manacor
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yeclano – last 6
WDDDWW
6 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
3 May
vs Estepona
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Lorca Deportiva
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Puente Genil
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Málaga II
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Yeclano.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Our pick is Yeclano or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Yeclano 29%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 0–0 Yeclano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
