La Nucía 64%Draw 22%Real Murcia II 14%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.56
64%
Betarazi pick
La Nucía to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Nucía to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
La Nucía vs Real Murcia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Murcia II travel to face La Nucía on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, La Nucía are 5th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Real Murcia II are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
La Nucía, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Poblense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Murcia II, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orihuela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Nucía 1.6 xG, Real Murcia II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Nucía 64%, draw 22%, Real Murcia II 14%.
Lower-risk option: La Nucía or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was La Nucía to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Nucía 1–0 Real Murcia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Nucía64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Real Murcia II14%fair 7.01 · @4.33
2.14Expected goals
1.59La Nucía xG
0.56Real Murcia II xG
38%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.6 – 0.6 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Draw no bet
La Nucía (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
La Nucía -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
La Nucía to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Recent results
La Nucía – last 6
WLWDDW
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Levante II
1–1
D
31 May
vs Levante II
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
LDWWDW
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
24 May
vs Mazarrón FC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is La Nucía to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Murcia II 14%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
La Nucía vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
