Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLa Nucía to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Deportiva Minera against La Nucía. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Deportiva Minera are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; La Nucía are 5th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Deportiva Minera, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alcoyano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
La Nucía, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mallorca II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours La Nucía, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Deportiva Minera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Minera 0.9 xG, La Nucía 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Minera 31%, draw 25%, La Nucía 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: La Nucía to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Minera 1–1 La Nucía. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportiva Minera31%fair 3.25 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
La Nucía44%fair 2.25 · @2.70
2.13Expected goals
0.93Deportiva Minera xG
1.20La Nucía xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportiva Minera 0.9 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✗
44%
2.25
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
La Nucía (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Deportiva Minera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
La Nucía to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Deportiva Minera – last 6
LDDWWW
27 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Cartagena LU II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
La Nucía – last 6
WWWWLW
27 Sep
vs Mallorca II
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Yeclano
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportiva Minera and La Nucía.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
On our numbers Deportiva Minera have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and La Nucía 44%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Minera 1–1 La Nucía, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
