Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrihuela to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Orihuela vs Cieza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cieza travel to face Orihuela on Sunday 4 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Orihuela are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Cieza are 6th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Orihuela, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Castellón II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cieza, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 1.6 xG, Cieza 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 60%, draw 22%, Cieza 17%.
Lower-risk option: Orihuela or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Orihuela to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orihuela or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 1–0 Cieza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orihuela60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Cieza17%fair 5.77 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.65Orihuela xG
0.73Cieza xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.6 – 0.7 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Orihuela (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Cieza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Orihuela to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.56
–
Recent results
Orihuela – last 6
LDDWWL
26 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–4
L
20 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
DLWDWL
27 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Cieza.
Our pick is Orihuela or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Orihuela vs Cieza?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cieza 17%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Cieza?
Orihuela vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
