Castellón II 66%Draw 22%Peña Deportiva 13%Expected goals 2.23 – 0.92
66%
Betarazi pick
Castellón II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón II to win ✗66% · @1.35
Double chanceCastellón II or draw ✗87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Castellón II v Peña Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Castellón II are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Peña Deportiva are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Castellón II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Elche II, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Peña Deportiva, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Castellón II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Peña Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón II 2.2 xG, Peña Deportiva 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón II 66%, draw 22%, Peña Deportiva 13%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.56.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellón II to win (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón II 2–0 Peña Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón II66%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.50
Peña Deportiva13%fair 7.79 · @6.45
3.16Expected goals
2.23Castellón II xG
0.92Peña Deportiva xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Castellón II 2.2 – 0.9 Peña Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón II to win✗
66%
1.53
1.35
Double chance
Castellón II or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.56
Draw no bet
Castellón II (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Castellón II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.68
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Castellón II to score first✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Castellón II ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón II / FT Castellón II✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Castellón II – last 6
WWLWWW
31 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
25 Oct
vs La Nucía
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Poblense
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Lorca Deportiva
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Orihuela
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Valencia II
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LLWLLL
1 Nov
vs Atlético Baleares
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Poblense
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Orihuela
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Valencia II
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón II and Peña Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
Our pick is Castellón II to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
On our numbers Castellón II have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peña Deportiva 13%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Castellón II 2–0 Peña Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
