Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Cieza to win @ 2.57 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCieza to win ✗42% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Poblense vs Cieza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Poblense welcome Cieza for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 8 November (11:30 WAT). In the table, Poblense are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Cieza are 6th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Poblense, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lorca Deportiva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cieza, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportiva Minera, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cieza, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Poblense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poblense 1.1 xG, Cieza 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poblense 35%, draw 23%, Cieza 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Cieza to win @2.57 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poblense 1–1 Cieza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poblense35%fair 2.85 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.98
Cieza42%fair 2.41 · @2.57
2.39Expected goals
1.13Poblense xG
1.26Cieza xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Poblense 1.1 – 1.3 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win✗
42%
2.41
2.57 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.86
Draw no bet
Cieza (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Poblense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cieza to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Poblense – last 6
LLWDWL
1 Nov
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–2
L
29 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Yeclano
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Castellón II
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
LLWWWD
1 Nov
vs Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–3
L
25 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Intercity
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Orihuela
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poblense and Cieza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Poblense vs Cieza?
On our numbers Poblense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cieza 42%.
How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poblense vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Poblense 1–1 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Poblense vs Cieza?
Poblense vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
