Value bet: Lorca Deportiva to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValencia II to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Valencia II against Lorca Deportiva. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Valencia II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; Lorca Deportiva are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Valencia II, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castellonense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Poblense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lorca Deportiva, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Valencia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia II 1.4 xG, Lorca Deportiva 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia II 42%, draw 23%, Lorca Deportiva 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Lorca Deportiva to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia II42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.15
Lorca Deportiva35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.38Valencia II xG
1.23Lorca Deportiva xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Valencia II 1.4 – 1.2 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia II to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.66
Draw no bet
Valencia II (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Lorca Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Valencia II to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Valencia II – last 6
DDLWLL
31 Oct
vs Castellonense
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Elche II
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
WLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Poblense
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Real Murcia II
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ La Nucía
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Valencia II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lorca Deportiva 35%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Valencia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
