Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ucam Murcia travel to face Orihuela on Sunday 8 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Orihuela are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Ucam Murcia are 2nd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Orihuela, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yeclano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ucam Murcia, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Mallorca II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Ucam Murcia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Orihuela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 1.3 xG, Ucam Murcia 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 29%, draw 22%, Ucam Murcia 49%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orihuela29%fair 3.42 · @3.16
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.26
Ucam Murcia49%fair 2.04 · @2.02
2.96Expected goals
1.25Orihuela xG
1.71Ucam Murcia xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.3 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
49%
2.04
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Orihuela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Orihuela – last 6
DDWLLL
1 Nov
@ Yeclano
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Valencia II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Mallorca II
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Peña Deportiva
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Cieza
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WLWWLW
1 Nov
vs Mallorca II
5–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cieza
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ucam Murcia 49%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
