Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Antoniano welcome Ciudad de Lucena for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 27 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Antoniano are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Antoniano, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mijas Las Lagunas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ciudad de Lucena, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tenerife II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antoniano 1.0 xG, Ciudad de Lucena 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antoniano 40%, draw 25%, Ciudad de Lucena 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antoniano 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antoniano40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Ciudad de Lucena35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
2.00Expected goals
1.04Antoniano xG
0.96Ciudad de Lucena xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Antoniano 1.0 – 1.0 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antoniano to win✗
40%
2.50
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Antoniano (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Ciudad de Lucena +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Antoniano to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.18
–
Recent results
Antoniano – last 6
DDLDWD
20 Sep
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Real Betis II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Don Benito
1–2
L
3 May
@ Real Jaén
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
LDDWLW
20 Sep
vs Tenerife II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
10 May
vs Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
3 May
@ Cádiz II
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Sevilla III
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antoniano and Ciudad de Lucena.
What is the prediction for Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
On our numbers Antoniano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ciudad de Lucena 35%.
How many goals will there be in Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our predicted score is Antoniano 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
