Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultPuente Genil to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Puente Genil vs Marbella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Puente Genil welcome Marbella for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 27 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Puente Genil are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Marbella are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Puente Genil, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Estepona, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Marbella, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Atlético Central, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marbella, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Puente Genil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puente Genil 1.8 xG, Marbella 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puente Genil 38%, draw 24%, Marbella 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puente Genil 1–1 Marbella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puente Genil38%fair 2.60 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.88
Marbella37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
3.50Expected goals
1.77Puente Genil xG
1.73Marbella xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.8 – 1.7 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puente Genil to win✗
38%
2.60
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Puente Genil (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Marbella +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Puente Genil to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Puente Genil – last 6
LLWLWD
19 Sep
vs Estepona
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
4–0
W
3 May
@ La Unión Atlético
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Málaga II
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Deportiva Minera
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marbella – last 6
WLDWLW
20 Sep
vs Atlético Central
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
22 May
vs Teruel
3–1
W
10 May
vs Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Marbella.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Marbella?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Marbella?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marbella 37%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Marbella?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Marbella?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–1 Marbella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Marbella?
Puente Genil vs Marbella (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
