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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Recreativo Huelva v Xerez: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · Spain · Nuevo Colombino
1–0
FT

Xerez

DLDDD
Recreativo Huelva 63%Draw 24%Xerez 13% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Recreativo Huelva to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultRecreativo Huelva to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.94

Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Recreativo Huelva welcome Xerez to Nuevo Colombino for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 27 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Recreativo Huelva are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 10 matches; Xerez are 6th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Recreativo Huelva, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Utrera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Xerez, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Don Benito, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Xerez 1–0 Recreativo Huelva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Recreativo Huelva 1.5 xG, Xerez 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Recreativo Huelva 63%, draw 24%, Xerez 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Recreativo Huelva or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Recreativo Huelva to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recreativo Huelva 1–0 Xerez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Recreativo Huelva63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.00
Xerez13%fair 7.55 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.50Recreativo Huelva xG
0.50Xerez xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Recreativo Huelva 1.5 – 0.5 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRecreativo Huelva to win ✓63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.62
Draw no betRecreativo Huelva (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapRecreativo Huelva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreRecreativo Huelva to score first ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Recreativo Huelva / FT Recreativo Huelva ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%4.94–

Recent results

Recreativo Huelva – last 6

LWLWWL
27 Sep@ Utrera1–2L
20 Sep@ Tamaraceite3–1W
19 Sepvs Betis C2–4L
16 Sepvs Cacereño2–1W
13 Sepvs Puente Genil2–1W
13 Sep@ Pozoblanco0–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Xerez – last 6

DLDDDW
20 Sepvs Don Benito0–0D
13 Sepvs Badajoz1–2L
5 Sep@ Estepona0–0D
14 Aug@ Portuense0–0D
17 May@ Conquense0–0D
3 Mayvs Ucam Murcia1–0W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Xerez v Recreativo Huelva1–0
Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Recreativo Huelva10631+1321
2Don Benito10622+520
3Ciudad de Lucena10541+719
4Badajoz10451+317
5Real Betis II9432+515
6Xerez10433+515
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361+415
8Estepona10433+315
9Atlético Central10505-215
10Sevilla Atletico10352+214
11Linares Deportivo10352014
12Puente Genil10334+112
13Sanluqueño10244-310
14Tenerife II9315-310
15Marbella10244-310
16Antoniano10136-96
17Tamaraceite10208-156
18Las Palmas II10127-135

More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

Our pick is Recreativo Huelva to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

On our numbers Recreativo Huelva have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xerez 13%.

How many goals will there be in Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

Our predicted score is Recreativo Huelva 1–0 Xerez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Colombino.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.