Value bet: Sevilla Atletico to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSevilla Atletico to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sevilla Atletico travel to face Atlético Central on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Central are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Sevilla Atletico are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Central, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Marbella, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sevilla Atletico, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sanluqueño, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Central 1.4 xG, Sevilla Atletico 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Central 30%, draw 25%, Sevilla Atletico 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sevilla Atletico to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Central 1–1 Sevilla Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Central30%fair 3.30 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Sevilla Atletico45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
3.17Expected goals
1.41Atlético Central xG
1.76Sevilla Atletico xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Central 1.4 – 1.8 Sevilla Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla Atletico to win✗
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Draw no bet
Sevilla Atletico (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Central +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sevilla Atletico to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla Atletico / FT Sevilla Atletico✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Atlético Central – last 6
LLWDWW
20 Sep
@ Marbella
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Caudal
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Caudal
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
DWWDWL
20 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Marbella
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Tamaraceite
1–0
W
10 May
vs Eldense
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Central and Sevilla Atletico.
What is the prediction for Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
On our numbers Atlético Central have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sevilla Atletico 45%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Our predicted score is Atlético Central 1–1 Sevilla Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
