Value bet: Versailles to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBastia to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Bastia vs Versailles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Bastia v Versailles in the National 1, played at Stade Armand Cesari. In the table, Bastia are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Versailles are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aubagne, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Versailles, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Le Puy Foot, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.3 xG, Versailles 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 42%, draw 23%, Versailles 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Versailles to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Versailles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Versailles35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.28Bastia xG
1.14Versailles xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.3 – 1.1 Versailles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Versailles +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Bastia to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 6
WLLDDD
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
0–2
L
10 Jul
@ Rodez
3–5
L
24 Apr
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Amiens
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Rodez
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Versailles – last 6
WLLDWD
14 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
22 Jul
@ Le Mans
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Metz
1–1
D
8 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
1 May
vs Orleans
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Versailles.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bastia vs Versailles?
On our numbers Bastia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Versailles 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Versailles?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Versailles?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Versailles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Versailles?
Bastia vs Versailles (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
