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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gobelins v Valenciennes: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Pele

Gobelins

LWWWD
2–1
FT

Valenciennes

WLDWD
Gobelins 31%Draw 24%Valenciennes 45% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.26
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultValenciennes to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Gobelins vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gobelins welcome Valenciennes to Stade Pele for a National 1 fixture on Thursday 20 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Gobelins are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Gobelins, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Villefranche, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Valenciennes, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bourg-en-bresse 01, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gobelins 1.0 xG, Valenciennes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gobelins 31%, draw 24%, Valenciennes 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gobelins31%fair 3.20 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Valenciennes45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.25Expected goals
0.99Gobelins xG
1.26Valenciennes xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Gobelins 1.0 – 1.3 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValenciennes to win ✗45%2.242.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betValenciennes (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapGobelins +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreValenciennes to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Gobelins – last 6

LWWWDL
14 Aug@ Villefranche0–2L
7 Augvs Quevilly1–0W
15 Jul@ Caen4–3W
11 Jul@ Amiens4–2W
30 Apr@ Concarneau0–0D
17 Apr@ Villefranche1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valenciennes – last 6

WLDWDL
14 Augvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
7 Aug@ Caen0–4L
31 Julvs Boulogne1–1D
22 Jul@ Eastleigh3–0W
18 Jul@ Kortrijk1–1D
24 Aprvs Dijon0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Gobelins v Valenciennes1–1
Gobelins vs Valenciennes head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

League hub
FT Bastia2 Versailles3 142%2.10X23%3.25235%3.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗
FT Bourg-en-bresse 010 Thionville Lusitanos2 131%2.88X23%3.20246%2.25 1.6–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Caen1 Aubagne0 160%1.70X21%3.60219%4.20 2.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Concarneau2 Villefranche0 157%1.90X22%3.30222%3.70 1.7–0.9xG 1XConcarneau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Fleury 910 Orleans2 141%2.25X23%3.00236%2.80 0.9–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@1.62 ✗
FT La Roche VF1 Cannes1 146%2.20X23%3.20231%2.95 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.35 ✓
FT Le Puy Foot1 Amiens0 146%2.20X22%3.30232%2.90 1.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.25 ✓
FT Rouen3 Quevilly0 163%1.73X25%3.35212%4.50 1.5–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Gobelins vs Valenciennes?

On our numbers Gobelins have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valenciennes 45%.

How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Valenciennes?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?

Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gobelins vs Valenciennes?

Gobelins vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.