Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.85
Rouen vs Quevilly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 20 August the National 1 brings Rouen against Quevilly at Stade Robert Diochon. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Quevilly are 10th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orleans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Quevilly, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concarneau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Quevilly.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.5 xG, Quevilly 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 63%, draw 25%, Quevilly 12%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (88%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Rouen to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Quevilly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
Quevilly12%fair 8.44 · @4.50
1.99Expected goals
1.51Rouen xG
0.48Quevilly xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.5 – 0.5 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Rouen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.85
–
Recent results
Rouen – last 6
WDWWLD
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
24 May
@ Laval
0–1
L
19 May
vs Laval
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Quevilly – last 6
DLWLLW
14 Aug
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Oissel
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Amiens
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ Laval
0–5
L
24 Apr
@ Orleans
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Quevilly.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rouen vs Quevilly?
On our numbers Rouen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quevilly 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Quevilly?
Rouen vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
