Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 3.60 – our chance 49% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +77%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFleury 91 to win ✗49% · @3.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fleury 91 welcome Aubagne to Stade Robert Bobin for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Fleury 91 are 12th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Fleury 91, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Thionville Lusitanos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aubagne, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rouen, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fleury 91, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Aubagne.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Aubagne 1–2 Fleury 91.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fleury 91 1.4 xG, Aubagne 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fleury 91 49%, draw 22%, Aubagne 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fleury 91 to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleury 91 1–1 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fleury 9149%fair 2.04 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Aubagne29%fair 3.46 · @1.80
2.46Expected goals
1.44Fleury 91 xG
1.02Aubagne xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.4 – 1.0 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aubagne 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–1 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
