Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBastia to win ✗41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.19
Gobelins vs Bastia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Gobelins v Bastia in the National 1, played at Stade Pele. In the table, Gobelins are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Bastia are 13th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gobelins, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bourg-en-bresse 01, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bastia, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cannes, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bastia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Gobelins.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gobelins 1.0 xG, Bastia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gobelins 36%, draw 23%, Bastia 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gobelins 1–1 Bastia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gobelins36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Bastia41%fair 2.44 · @2.35
2.16Expected goals
1.03Gobelins xG
1.13Bastia xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gobelins 1.0 – 1.1 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
41%
2.44
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Gobelins +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Bastia to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.19
–
Recent results
Gobelins – last 6
DLDDWL
19 Sep
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Caen
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Aubagne
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Thionville Lusitanos
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Valenciennes
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Villefranche
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 6
DWLWLW
17 Sep
vs Cannes
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gobelins and Bastia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gobelins vs Bastia?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bastia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Bastia?
Gobelins vs Bastia (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
