Value bet: Cannes to win @ 2.50 – our chance 48% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCannes to win ✗48% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Orleans vs Cannes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the National 1 brings Orleans against Cannes at Stade de la Source. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Cannes are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Orleans, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Amiens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cannes, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bastia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cannes, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Orleans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 1.0 xG, Cannes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 29%, draw 23%, Cannes 48%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cannes to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 0–1 Cannes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orleans29%fair 3.41 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Cannes48%fair 2.10 · @2.50
2.28Expected goals
0.95Orleans xG
1.32Cannes xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Orleans 1.0 – 1.3 Cannes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cannes to win✗
48%
2.10
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Cannes (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Orleans +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
First team to score
Cannes to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cannes / FT Cannes✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Orleans – last 6
LLDLWL
19 Sep
@ Amiens
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Rouen
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cannes – last 6
DDWWDD
17 Sep
@ Bastia
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Amiens
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Versailles
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ La Roche VF
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Fleury 91
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and Cannes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Orleans vs Cannes?
On our numbers Orleans have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cannes 48%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Cannes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Cannes?
Our predicted score is Orleans 0–1 Cannes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Cannes?
Orleans vs Cannes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
