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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valenciennes v Le Puy Foot: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade du Hainaut
2–1
FT
Valenciennes 41%Draw 23%Le Puy Foot 37% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.27
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Le Puy Foot to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultValenciennes to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.87

Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Valenciennes welcome Le Puy Foot to Stade du Hainaut for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Valenciennes are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Le Puy Foot are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Valenciennes, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to La Roche VF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Le Puy Foot, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Villefranche, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valenciennes 1.3 xG, Le Puy Foot 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valenciennes 41%, draw 23%, Le Puy Foot 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Le Puy Foot to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenciennes 1–1 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valenciennes41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Le Puy Foot37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.35Valenciennes xG
1.27Le Puy Foot xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.3 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValenciennes to win ✓41%2.462.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.73
Draw no betValenciennes (draw no bet) ✓52%1.90–
Asian handicapLe Puy Foot +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.181.14
First team to scoreValenciennes to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.87–

Recent results

Valenciennes – last 6

LLDDLW
19 Sep@ La Roche VF2–3L
12 Sepvs Fleury 911–2L
3 Sep@ Rouen1–1D
29 Augvs Concarneau0–0D
20 Aug@ Gobelins1–2L
14 Augvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Le Puy Foot – last 6

WLDLWL
19 Sepvs Villefranche4–1W
12 Sep@ Quevilly1–2L
5 Sepvs Orleans1–1D
29 Aug@ Cannes0–2L
20 Augvs Amiens1–0W
14 Aug@ Versailles0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Le Puy Foot.

Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?

On our numbers Valenciennes have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Le Puy Foot 37%.

How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?

Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?

Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.