Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultConcarneau to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concarneau travel to face Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Saturday 26 September in the National 1, with Stade Marcel-Verchere the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gobelins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Concarneau, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Caen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.7 xG, Concarneau 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 17%, draw 24%, Concarneau 58%.
Lower-risk option: Concarneau or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Concarneau to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Concarneau or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0117%fair 5.72 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Concarneau58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
2.35Expected goals
0.75Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.60Concarneau xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.7 – 1.6 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Concarneau or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Concarneau to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
DLLLLL
19 Sep
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Bastia
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Caen
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Aubagne
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Thionville Lusitanos
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 6
WWDDWD
19 Sep
vs Caen
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Thionville Lusitanos
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Villefranche
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Concarneau.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Concarneau or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concarneau 58%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
