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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aubagne v Le Puy Foot: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny

Aubagne

LWLLD
0–1
FT
Aubagne 33%Draw 23%Le Puy Foot 44% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.17
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.83

Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the National 1 brings Aubagne against Le Puy Foot at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Le Puy Foot are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Aubagne, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to La Roche VF, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Le Puy Foot, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Thionville Lusitanos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Le Puy Foot 1–2 Aubagne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 0.9 xG, Le Puy Foot 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 33%, draw 23%, Le Puy Foot 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aubagne33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Le Puy Foot44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
2.11Expected goals
0.94Aubagne xG
1.17Le Puy Foot xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Aubagne 0.9 – 1.2 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLe Puy Foot to win ✓44%2.262.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.75
Draw no betLe Puy Foot (draw no bet) ✓58%1.74–
Asian handicapAubagne +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreLe Puy Foot to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.83–

Recent results

Aubagne – last 6

LWLLDW
3 Oct@ La Roche VF1–3L
26 Sep@ Fleury 912–1W
19 Sep@ Rouen0–1L
12 Sepvs Concarneau1–2L
5 Sep@ Gobelins0–0D
29 Augvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Le Puy Foot – last 6

WLWLDL
3 Octvs Thionville Lusitanos1–0W
26 Sep@ Valenciennes1–2L
19 Sepvs Villefranche4–1W
12 Sep@ Quevilly1–2L
5 Sepvs Orleans1–1D
29 Aug@ Cannes0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Le Puy Foot v Aubagne1–2
Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot?

On our numbers Aubagne have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Le Puy Foot 44%.

How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot?

Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot?

Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.