Valenciennes vs Amiens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:45 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Valenciennes v Amiens in the National 1, played at Stade du Hainaut. In the table, Valenciennes are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Amiens are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Valenciennes, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Versailles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Amiens, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Villefranche, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Amiens, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Valenciennes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenciennes 1.0 xG, Amiens 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenciennes 34%, draw 25%, Amiens 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenciennes34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Amiens42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
2.11Expected goals
0.98Valenciennes xG
1.13Amiens xG
56%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.0 – 1.1 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✗
42%
2.40
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Amiens to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.16
–
Recent results
Valenciennes – last 6
LWLLDD
3 Oct
@ Versailles
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Rouen
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
WDWDWW
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Versailles
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Amiens.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Amiens?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Amiens 42%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Amiens?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Valenciennes vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
