Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Versailles to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVersailles to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceVersailles or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the National 1 brings Thionville Lusitanos against Versailles at Stadium Plaine. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Versailles are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Le Puy Foot, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Versailles, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valenciennes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Versailles, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Thionville Lusitanos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thionville Lusitanos 1.0 xG, Versailles 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thionville Lusitanos 19%, draw 24%, Versailles 58%.
Lower-risk option: Versailles or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Versailles to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Versailles or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Versailles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thionville Lusitanos19%fair 5.33 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.10
Versailles58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
2.94Expected goals
1.02Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.92Versailles xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.0 – 1.9 Versailles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Versailles to win✓
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Versailles or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Versailles (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Thionville Lusitanos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Versailles to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Versailles ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Versailles / FT Versailles✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
LLDLDD
3 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs La Roche VF
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Versailles – last 6
WWDWLL
3 Oct
vs Valenciennes
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Villefranche
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Quevilly
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Orleans
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Cannes
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Amiens
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Versailles.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Our pick is Versailles or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Versailles 58%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Versailles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
