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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bourg-en-bresse 01 v Fleury 91: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Marcel-Verchere
0–1
FT
Bourg-en-bresse 01 17%Draw 23%Fleury 91 60% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.79
83%
Betarazi pick

Fleury 91 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFleury 91 to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceFleury 91 or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.61

Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bourg-en-bresse 01 welcome Fleury 91 to Stade Marcel-Verchere for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:45 WAT). In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Fleury 91 are 12th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rouen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Fleury 91, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Caen, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Fleury 91, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Fleury 91 3–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.8 xG, Fleury 91 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 17%, draw 23%, Fleury 91 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fleury 91 or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Fleury 91 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fleury 91 or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bourg-en-bresse 0117%fair 6.00 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Fleury 9160%fair 1.67 · @1.95
2.61Expected goals
0.82Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.79Fleury 91 xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.8 – 1.8 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFleury 91 to win ✓60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceFleury 91 or draw ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.85
Draw no betFleury 91 (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapFleury 91 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreFleury 91 to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultFleury 91 ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91 ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13%7.61–

Recent results

Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6

LDDLLL
3 Oct@ Rouen0–2L
26 Sepvs Concarneau1–1D
19 Sep@ Gobelins1–1D
12 Sepvs Bastia0–1L
5 Sepvs Caen0–2L
29 Aug@ Aubagne0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Fleury 91 – last 6

WLDWWL
3 Octvs Caen3–2W
26 Sepvs Aubagne1–2L
19 Sepvs Thionville Lusitanos1–1D
12 Sep@ Valenciennes2–1W
5 Sepvs Villefranche6–1W
29 Aug@ Quevilly1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Fleury 91 v Bourg-en-bresse 013–0
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?

Our pick is Fleury 91 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?

On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fleury 91 60%.

How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?

Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?

Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.