Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceRouen or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Gobelins vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rouen travel to face Gobelins on Saturday 17 October in the National 1, with Stade Charlety the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Gobelins are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Gobelins, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Concarneau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rouen, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bourg-en-bresse 01, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Gobelins.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Gobelins 0–0 Rouen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gobelins 0.6 xG, Rouen 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gobelins 16%, draw 26%, Rouen 58%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Rouen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gobelins 0–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gobelins16%fair 6.35 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
Rouen58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
2.11Expected goals
0.62Gobelins xG
1.49Rouen xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Gobelins 0.6 – 1.5 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gobelins vs Rouen?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rouen 58%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Rouen?
Gobelins vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charlety.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
