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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barry Town v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Jenner Park
1–4
FT
Barry Town 26%Draw 19%GAP Connah S Quay FC 56% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.98
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to face Barry Town on Saturday 26 September in the Premier League, with Jenner Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Barry Town are 7th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.

Current form

Barry Town, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Colwyn Bay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cardiff MET, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Barry Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Barry Town 1 win, GAP Connah S Quay FC 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barry Town 1.3 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barry Town 26%, draw 19%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barry Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barry Town26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
GAP Connah S Quay FC56%fair 1.80 · @1.83
3.24Expected goals
1.26Barry Town xG
1.98GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Barry Town 1.3 – 2.0 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓56%1.801.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.62
Draw no betGAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet) ✓68%1.46–
Asian handicapBarry Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.17
First team to scoreGAP Connah S Quay FC to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultGAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Barry Town – last 6

LDWLWW
18 Sep@ Colwyn Bay2–5L
15 Sepvs Ammanford AFC2–2D
11 Sepvs Llandudno4–1W
5 Sep@ The New Saints0–1L
31 Aug@ Briton Ferry4–1W
28 Augvs Airbus UK4–2W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WWLDWW
18 Sepvs Cardiff MET1–0W
15 Sepvs Airbus UK3–0W
12 Sep@ Colwyn Bay1–2L
4 Sepvs Haverfordwest County AFC1–1D
31 Aug@ Flint Town United2–1W
28 Augvs Cambrian & Clydach3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC v Barry Town1–1
21 Feb 2026Barry Town v GAP Connah S Quay FC1–0
Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers Barry Town have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 56%.

How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is Barry Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.